行业资讯

又见大多头!高盛:散户逼空注定会失败 白银将剑指33美元

日期:2021-02-04

波动性继续主导着白银价格,市场继续应对逼空失败的结果,此前大量散户投资者一度蜂拥买入这一贵金属。


银价在周二大幅下跌后,周三(2月3日)小幅反弹。白银仍远低于周一创下的近8年高点。


美市盘中,现货白银上涨约0.2%,交投于26.72美元/盎司一线,此前曾一度上涨2.1%。


高盛(Goldman Sachs)分析师在周二发布的一份研究报告中回顾了近期波动的价格走势,重申了他们对白银的看涨预期。


该行预计,随着美国总统拜登推进增加可再生能源生产的计划,金价将升至33美元/盎司。


虽然许多散户投资者(通过社交媒体和Reddit上的Wallstreetbets的帖子组织起来)希望轧空白银空头,就像他们在Gamestop、黑莓(Blackberry)和AMC等股票上实现的那样,但高盛表示,该计划注定要失败。


“虽然一些空头是投机性的,需要在到期前回补,但多数是受工业生产商对冲其远期获利的推动,”该行分析师在报告中称。“当大宗商品空头头寸普遍得到实物库存的支持时,就不会出现随后的买入和轧空。”


在接受彭博新闻社采访时,该行全球大宗商品主管Jeffrey Currie表示,白银市场每年的价值高达约2000亿美元;它太大了,散户投资者无法操纵。


“要想垄断市场并造成轧空,我们估计Wallstreetbets的每个人都需要积累约4200盎司的仓位,”他说。“那可是一大笔银子啊,你打算把它放在哪儿呢?”


该行还指出,在亨特兄弟在上世纪80年代臭名昭著地试图控制整个白银市场之后,现在的监管规定使得这个市场几乎不可能遭到垄断。


遠東貴金屬首發精準的黃金行情分析,<黃金交易投資開戶>www.fepm62.com,轉載請注明出處。

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